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8Lee's avatar

Yeah, but...

> Silence the skeptics with the truth, rather than silencing truth with the lawyers.

... isn't this post about the warping and bending of truth? That so-called truth — for many of these sociopaths — is flexible and malleable.

I'm not sure that you can manage or monitor the delta between what is factually true and what I call "orchestrated" truth (to put it nicely), especially if you're here in SF / SV. But, part of what makes this place magical is that so many are trying to live the future and then force it into being.

That gap and gray matter feels magical. Maybe that's why we're all ok with all of the nonsense.

David Merkel's avatar

At Aleph Blog, I wrote a lot about risk control, both corporate and personal. I wrote a lot about con men, both personal and corporate. Part of the trouble is in the hearers -- some people want to believe. They want this miracle that will bail them out their bad economics, so they risk what can barely afford, and end up worse off as a result.

It is difficult to cheat an honest and intelligent man. I actually received a pre-Internet Nigerian scam in 1994 in paper, from a so-called Nigerian Prince. My boss and I looked at it, and collectively said, "No way."

A popular phrase in the 1970s was, "There is no such thing as a free lunch." Keep that in mind. Few people are out there to do you a favor. You should even be skeptical of me.

As an investment manger inside a life insurer, my credit analyst and I identified Enron as a problem credit prior to their downfall, but we had a problem: we were in the process of a merger with another firm, and they were fans of Enron. We tried to convince them to sell (they were CMBS, ABS, and RMBS managers with no experience in corporate bonds), and rather than sell they bought more Enron bonds.

So instead of getting $102 per bond, we got $12. That was part of what led to the firm losing the big account managing the life insurer's assets. The life insurer's managers were idiots, but the losses they blamed on the asset manager (who they pushed to be aggressive) allowed them to cover themselves, even though they were incompetent.

Beware of those who want to believe, and don't believe with them.

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